The new New Economy Analyst
Report - March 21, 2001
Juergen Daum’s new New
Economy Best Practice service
©2001 Juergen Daum. All rights reserved.
Pessimism about the so called “New Economy” is growing as the US economy is slowing down and financial markets are downgrading technology stocks. But when “dot coms” close down operations and run into bankruptcy that does not mean, that the basic philosophy behind the “New Economy” was wrong. Analysis proves, that the combination of brain power and knowledge, of information technology and the Internet (a major the transportation device for knowledge), and of the globalisation of business organizations and markets (the vehicle to leverage knowledge in a condensed form as knowledge products on a large scale) still can generate exponentially much more value for both shareholders and stakeholders as the traditional (industrial) manufacturing company model (see also “the book of the month February 2001”)
While “dot com” companies have often been the face of the Internet Economy, interestingly they made up a very small part of it. Only 9.6 percent of the firms studied by the Center for Research in Electronic Commerce of the Graduate School of Business at the University of Texas at Austin (…here the complete report) can be classified as “dot coms” with 95 percent or more of their revenues from the Internet. The same study revealed, that the Internet Economy supported an additional 612,375 jobs in the first half of 2000 and directly supports three million workers in the US. And Internet related jobs are not created just in Information Technology: 33% are created in sales and marketing, 28% in IT, 17% in operations/manufacturing, 12% in accounting/finance, and 10% in general/admin/exec (see the same report).
What does the actual New Economy crisis mean ?
It’s simply the correction of the irrational exaggerations on financial markets in the last 2 years. Fundamentals like profits, cash flows and stock valuations based on realistic future earnings have always and will always be the basics for companies which are in business to earn money. Some people in the last 24 months just forgot about it. But it is also true that it is much more complex to manage profitability, especially sustaining profitability in the new New Economy (that is how I will call it from now on). Because in the new New Economy the basic business rules of the old economy still apply, companies have to manage for short term profitability and long term based value creation (last based on intangible assets and knowledge) at the same time. And that requires more sophisticated management instruments as traditional financial and management accounting – something many “dot coms” did not care about so much.
So what is the new New Economy ? Here my understanding:
The Old Economy:
The economy model of the Old Economy was based exclusively on financial
capital – in the management focus are short term profits:
Industrial capitalism, which emerged in the 19th century as a new
economic structure, gave rise to the business corporation and its basic
management techniques - such as financial accounting –, and was based nearly
exclusively on financial capital. Financial capital – money – bought land,
machinery and other equipment to produce goods. It also bought labor from
workers, needed for the production process. Most work was not very
sophisticated and required no specific skills a worker could not learn within a
few days. He was therefore easily replaceable. Labor was cheap and abundantly
available. The one who owned financial
capital – the capitalist - owned
everything: the tools to produce goods with and the result of the production
process, the product itself. It was the time when mining and steel companies,
auto companies dominated the economic landscape and industrial production has
been the holly grail for economic value creation in the developed countries.
The New Economy:
The economic model of the New Economy is based exclusively on knowledge
and intangible assets instead of financial capital – in the management focus is
long term value creation such as increase in market share etc.:
When we talk about the New Economy we're talking about a world in which
people work with their brains instead of their hands. A world in which
innovation is more important than mass production. A world in which investment
buys new concepts or the means to create them, rather than new machines. New
kinds of businesses, based on knowledge
work, were being created in recent years. Companies that were more flexible,
more adaptive, and more fluid in their structures, producing “smart” products
and services that featured mass customization, customer participation in
product design and manufacture, and the linking of suppliers, distributors, and
strategic partners into chains of common destiny. Companies emerged, which have
created and own more intellectual capital and value creating potential than traditional
businesses. In the most narrow sense, the New Economy company was the dotcom
company, which tried to move fast into new (consumer) markets to create market
share without any intention to make profits for years. The burst of the dotcom
bubble on financial markets gave raise to the concept of the new New Economy.
The new New Economy:
The economic model of the new New Economy is based on a optimal
combination of tangible and knowledge / intangible assets – in the management
focus is the ability to both create long term value and short term profits:
In the new New Economy the main rules of the New Economy are still valid –
such as that knowledge and intangible assets based companies own more value creation
potential than tangible assets based and traditional production companies. But
at the same time some important rules of the old economy apply – that companies
are in business to earn money. Therefore, in the new New Economy, companies
have to prove, that their intangible strategy is paying off. They have to prove
that through sustainable and increasing short term profits – again and again.
And at the same time, they have to show, that they create long term value
through constant innovation, by increasing the value of its customer base
through improved customer retention, by increasing the value of its human
capital constant skill built-up in its workforce, by increasing the value of
its partner capital through new alliances and new forms of partnerships, and by increasing the value its
organizational capital through improved business processes and through
organizational models that reflect the companies new business strategy and
provides it with a completive advantage.
In my upcoming book “Management in a new New Economy:
How to exploit intangible assets to create value” I analyse in
depth these new challenges. The book provides readers with a comprehensive view
on current best practice and trends in what companies do, to improve their
ability to create value through intangible assets and generate short term
profits at the same time. It provides readers with an insight into new concepts
for a management system which is able to cope with the sometimes contradicting
objectives of generating short term profit and long term intangible value. In
addition it includes detailed case studies and interviews with international
thought leaders like David P. Norton, co-author of the Balanced Scorecard
concept.
To get the latest information about the new New Economy on a regular
basis, register for “The new New Economy
Analyst” – a free-of-charge monthly e-mail newsletter.
©2001
Juergen Daum. All rights reserved.
Copyright, Trademarks
and Disclaimer